sb AA vs TAGs - 100NL

[excession]

[excession]

^^^^

xaston is the guy with the gun obv...monsters under the bed are scared of him..

[black_knight6]

[black_knight6]

[black_knight6]

[black_knight6]

Okay, can someone PLEASE CHECK MY MATH

The pfr has the SPR (Stack to Pot Ratio) = 2.33

His range that will stack off is: KK-77, AdKd, AdQd, KdQd, QdJd, T9, J9, 96

His calling range is KK-22, AK, AQ, KQ, QJ, T9, J9, 96 (I know some are very unlikely, but I put them in just for simplicity to help with calculating how I fare when I get it in).

His calling range = 13.6% of hands.
His stacking-off range = 4.2% of hands.

So, 69% of the time, he'll call and fold to a flop bet (assuming ZERO bluffing).
and 31% of the time, he'll call and get it in somehow (on flop or turn).

The 69% of the time he calls and folds to my CB, I win $36.
0.69*36 = $24.84
The 31% of the time he calls and stacks off, I win 120 (pot plus the 84 left) 36.2%, lose 84 (what remains in my stack) 63.8%.
0.31*0.362*120 = $13.47
0.31*0.638*84 = -$16.61

The sum of 24.84+13.47-16.61 = $21.70

So, betting and stacking off no matter what nets me $21.70 every time.



Did I do that right? The percentages are correct, as are the products/sums, but am I correct to say that when we're all in and I win, I win 120 (his 84 plus the 36 pot)? And when I lose, I only lose what I have left? Or, do I have to say that each time I win 100 and lose 100??

THANKS!

[black_knight6]

If I change the win/lose to both 100, the sum is +$16.28 so stacking off is still correct.

[black_knight6]

[black_knight6]

[gsdavid]