TPTK vs very good regular

[iceman5]

$100 NL 6 max

I raise to $3.50 with [Qc] and get called twice. Once by a very good regular who has position on me. Hes one of only 3-4 people playing Bodog $100NL who have the slightest clue and he should be playing higher.

Pot $11. Flop [8h][3c]. 1 guy checks, I bet $8 and regular guy calls.
Pot $27. Turn . I check because I am pretty sure he knows how to float. Im also pretty sure he will fold 99 if I bet again. So I check and he bets $10.

This is one of those spots where I like CRAI knowing full well that hes probably not calling with out a set. He doesnt have AK or 2 pair. He has a set or I have him beat.

He also isnt going to bet the river again with 99 or 87s. At least I dont think so. I havent hardly any pots vs him. Im just going on a general read.

If I call now and lead the river I cant see him calling with anything less than TT, so isnt a check raise better even if I know he'll rarely call? Before he gets to see the river card?

[Triple B]

If he's pretty aggro and will be the type to put you on KK/QQ if you c/c the turn then I would do that, and c/c river as well.

My default play would be to bet the turn again. I want value from AJ/AT and I also want to protect my double barrels by betting with decent hands too.

The $10 turn bet seems pretty fishy though. That would scare me enough to not CRAI. Then again, I rarely CRAI the turn, especially with one pair.

[iceman5]

[Triple B]

[iceman5]

[DoctorHandles]

I didn't read all of BK and your post Ice, and even though I hate a CRAI for many a reason (most of which Xaston has already pointed out to you in another thread), I don't see how CRAI can be better than CR/folding to $33ish on the turn.

[iceman5]

I can dig a CR to $33.