NL50: Is this a set? AA hand

[bdon22]

Villain is 15/12/inf over 41 hands, no real reads other than that. He has ironman and I've been pretty active on this table.

$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG ($93.60)
UTG+1 ($52.00)
CO ($62.30)
Hero ($62.65)
SB ($48.25)
BB ($23.00)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is BTN [As]
UTG calls $0.5, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.25, SB calls $2, 1 fold, UTG calls $1.75

Flop: [8c][7s] ($7.25, 3 players)
SB bets $4.5, 1 fold, Hero raises to $14.5, SB calls $10

Turn: ($36.25, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($36.25, 2 players)
SB bets $13.5, Hero ???

[DoctorHandles]

I think I threw up in my mouth a little when I saw that turn check. His remaining stack is under the pot size, put him in.

I'm guessing you just posted this to see if you get called out on the turn rather than caring about your actual river line (I used to do that back in the day), so I'm not even gonna address the river.

[Monkey]

That's a good turn card for your hand. Any straight draws are still draws, 77 is now less likely, and you just counterfeited top 2pr. Given that he's got <pot left, put him in.

As played, that river changes nothing: call and expect to win most of the time.

If he did have a set, it's a valuable note that he will lead them.

[johnnie_naked]

I think he has a boat here sometimes, but I call

[Danhdan]

I don't 41 hands is enough information to go on. I think he could have a boat here, sure, but I think more likely he's going to showdown a missed draw, a straight(rarely), or a nine. But, we are getting almost 4-1 and there is little reason to think he always has a big hand here.

Call, and see what he shows up with here...oh, and win the pot.

[black_knight6]

[Jossnaz]

[shamdonk]

[Jossnaz]