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How often do I have the winner here?

Hand analysis. Post your trouble hands here

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Postby iceman5 » Sat Mar 15, 2008 6:06 pm

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Postby black_knight6 » Sat Mar 15, 2008 7:00 pm

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Postby iceman5 » Sat Mar 15, 2008 8:40 pm

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Postby black_knight6 » Sat Mar 15, 2008 9:27 pm

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Postby iceman5 » Sat Mar 15, 2008 10:38 pm

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Postby black_knight6 » Sat Mar 15, 2008 11:27 pm

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Postby Aisthesis » Sun Mar 16, 2008 4:45 am

I don't see what's so horrible about the previous hands.

hand 1: I don't see why he's showing AQ here, but folding is good. I guess he's disgusted about having to lay down what was likely the best hand PF.

hand 2: I don't like his limp OTB at all, but postflop, I've seen a lot worse. I mean he does have top 2 on the river.

The only thing about that background that makes me want to call is that he's seen you bet the river with the nut straight, but you didn't bet this river. We've seen nothing to suggest that he'd bluff the flush here often--but he didn't really have much opportunity to do so in the other hands either.
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Postby iceman5 » Sun Mar 16, 2008 7:28 am

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Postby black_knight6 » Sun Mar 16, 2008 10:23 am

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Postby iceman5 » Sun Mar 16, 2008 11:02 am

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Postby Aisthesis » Sun Mar 16, 2008 2:44 pm

fwiw, I vastly prefer betting out on hand 1 as well as the other boards.

Hand 1 is actually the hand I'd least like to ch/call because you give random overcards a free card with no idea of where you're at. And if they bluff at it, you again are going to have too many worries on the turn.

If there's any hand worth CR or ch/call, I'd say it's the straight hand because more often than not the board isn't going to develop in your favor. But a CR is likely to fold out too many opponents and on a ch/call you can't guarantee that money is going into the pot on all streets.

Anyhow, while you do have a real hand in hand 1, it's the one where I most want to see an immediate fold. So, why miss giving them an opportunity to do just that?
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Postby WayToGo » Sun Mar 16, 2008 8:41 pm

Taking shots, one at a time.
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Postby Triple B » Sun Mar 16, 2008 8:52 pm

Villain: Why?
Villain: How?
Me: I had a feeling
Villian: Sit in you cretin
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Postby black_knight6 » Sun Mar 16, 2008 10:41 pm

Add in the canadian conversion rate
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Postby dropthe72 » Mon Mar 17, 2008 1:08 am

don't forgot the falling cost of the US dollar.



you know. which means calling the river bet is substantively lower in euros. or the yen.
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