Two Hands I'm curious about Betsizing (NL$100)

[DoctorHandles]

Both of the villains seem regularish, most of the hands are datamined and they show normal preflop stats.

Hand #1)

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Converter Tool from (Format: Bet The Pot)

MP ($226.05)
CO ($44.85)
Button ($137)
SB ($162.30)
Hero ($198)
UTG ($100)

Preflop: Hero is BB with , .
3 folds, Button raises to $3.5, 1 fold, Hero calls $2.50.

Flop: ($7.50) , , (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $4, Hero raises to $14, Button calls $10.

Turn: ($35.50) (2 players)
Hero bets $24, Button calls $24.

River: ($83.50) (2 players)
Hero bets $50

I was trying to value-town AX here. I guess my main question is betting $31 on the turn and shoving the river better? We'll have to be $31 or so on the turn and then shove the river for a pot sized bet of about $90, which I'm not sure if AJ/AQ call much less a weaker ace. So is shoving to try to get the extra $45 worth the risk?

Hand #2)

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Converter Tool from (Format: Bet The Pot)

Button ($219.65)
SB ($100)
BB ($152.35)
UTG ($161.80)
Hero ($275.50)
CO ($106.40)

Preflop: Hero is MP with , . UTG posts a blind of $1.
Hero raises to $3.5, 1 fold, Button calls $3.50, 2 folds.

Flop: ($8.50) , , (3 players)
Hero bets $7.25, Button calls $7.25.

Turn: ($23) (3 players)
Hero bets $17, Button calls $17.

River: ($57) (3 players)
Hero bets how much?

[black_knight6]

[DoctorHandles]

[redhouse]

[black_knight6]

[DoctorHandles]

Hmmm... well if he bets $50 or so I'd be sending $140+ back to him, you don't think that's too much? I actually didn't think of the line at the time but did after.

[black_knight6]

So the pot would be 140:250...so he'd be getting nearly 2:1.

[ua1176]

[redhouse]