by ToastedMoses » Sat Apr 19, 2008 3:43 am
I like a bet.
Its sort of a value/protection/best option bet imo. You are getting value from FDs, pair+SDs and protecting against these as well as some gutshot and floated overs type hands.
You are getting raised by his big made hands on the flop almost always, and if somehow you didn't you will get raised now and can pretty easily fold against an unknown. Also there probably aren't a ton of aces in his range, and A/5/6/7 all make themselves obvious on the turn as well.
It simplifies the playing of the hand as you bet/fold pretty happily, if called again can hit a 7/9 and be good often, hit a diamond/4 and c/f or hit a brickish river and induce a lot of bluffs by c/cing. Conversely, c/fing turn seems pretty weak (but probably best), c/r doesn't make much sense and c/cing gives away the lead and makes the river pretty hard to play (without much of an upside imo) Also not betting the ace gives up a lot of information about your hand to a good hand reader, namely that you have a hand that doesn't like the ace/has value which turns into a bluff by betting/ wants to see a cheap showdown.
As played:
I bet 3/4 pot and fold to a raise. Its a little strange that he didn't fire the turn and looks a lot like a pair+draw hand that would like to showdown/improve cheaply if possible. I think you def get looked up by worse, will get flatted by chops and baby flushes some% of the time, and almost never bluff raised. Also I think he checks back a lot and won't bluff you enough to make c/c a better option.
"I saw this wino eating grapes, its like dude.... you have to wait." - Mitch Hedberg