If You Have An Out, You Have A Winner!

[MTPaid]

Played the following sessions since dropping 2.5 stacks ($130.10) in PLO at Full Tilt yesterday afternoon.

All on Stars
1 hr NLHE +$42.25
1 hr PLO +$30.25
1 hr 15m NLHE +$40.95

Was going to play another mid-night PLO session on Full Tilt last night, but figured I'd be disgusted if I had another loser and was content to have just go to bed on a mini 3 session winning streak which got all but $15.65 of it back.

Plus I was all messed up with some pretty awful allergies which have been miserable all week and was a little more than drowsy from everything I've taken to try and thwart them. My face has felt like a punching bag all week long and everything itches. It's misery.

But this afternoon I went back to Full Tilt for a short 38 minute PLO session and booked a win ($68.20). Hooray for fishies that will call off with JJxx on an undercard board in a 3-bet pot preflop. Sucks when they hit the J on the turn with $12 left. Great when I hit my set of Aces on the river (also had NFD). I really think I might have snapped if I had lost this hand too.

$0.25/$0.5 Pot Limit Omaha Hi
6 players
Converted at

Stacks:
Hero ($58.10)
UTG+1 ($37.00)
CO ($40.20)
BTN ($36.20)
SB ($105.80)
BB ($50.00)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is UTG
Hero calls $0.50 ($57.60), 2 folds, BTN raises to $2.25 ($33.95), SB calls $2 ($103.55), 1 fold, Hero raises to $9.50 ($48.10), BTN calls $7.25 ($26.70), SB folds ($103.55)
32.90% (EV = -$2.34)
67.10% (EV = $5.09)

Flop: ($21.75, 2 players)
Hero bets $14.50 ($34.10), BTN calls $14.50 ($12.20)
15.20% (EV = -$6.79)
84.80% (EV = $28.54)

Turn: ($50.75, 2 players)
Hero goes all-in $34.10 ($0.00), BTN calls $12.20 ($0.00)
77.50% (EV = $63.01)
22.50% (EV = -$12.26)

River: ($97.05, 2 players)
0.00% (EV = $0.00)
100.00% (EV = $97.05)

Final Pot: $75.15
BTN shows:
Hero shows:

Hero wins $94.05 ( won +$35.95 )
BTN lost -$36.20
SB lost -$2.25

Now all I gotta do is get rid of a couple of people and this forum will be mine completely.

[MTPaid]

[MTPaid]

Just dropped 5 stacks in an hour. This is pretty sickening. Must be some kind of 2 outter suckout promotion going on. Anyway, this is how I tilt when I run like shit.......

First I'll do something a little silly and stick it in as something like an 8-1 favorite on the flop.

$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG ($70.20)
UTG+1 ($54.30)
Hero ($52.25)
BTN ($34.60)
SB ($24.10)
BB ($40.75)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is CO
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $2 ($52.30), Hero raises to $6.50 ($45.75), 3 folds, UTG+1 calls $4.50 ($47.80)
55.30% (EV = $1.10)
44.70% (EV = -$0.35)

Flop: ($13.75, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks ($47.80), Hero bets $9.50 ($36.25), UTG+1 raises to $19 ($28.80), Hero goes all-in $45.75 ($0.00), UTG+1 calls $26.75 ($2.05)
12.00% (EV = -$33.12)
88.00% (EV = $46.87)

Turn: ($105.25, 2 players)
22.70% (EV = $23.89)
77.30% (EV = $81.36)

River: ($105.25, 2 players)
100.00% (EV = $105.25)
0.00% (EV = $0.00)

Final Pot: $105.25
UTG+1 shows:
Hero shows:

UTG+1 wins $102.25 ( won +$50 )
Hero lost -$52.25

----------------------

Then just to blow off a little more steam I'll dump off to a short stack with QQ.
http://weaktight.com/226513

---------------------

Next, I'll get down right stupid and raise someone holding J3 with KK and dump off again.

$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG ($25.45)
UTG+1 ($69.80)
CO ($29.90)
Hero ($65.55)
SB ($108.50)
BB ($49.95)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is BTN
2 folds, CO calls $0.50 ($29.40), SB says "lucky that one " ($108.25), Hero says "little better" ($65.55), Hero raises to $2.25 ($63.30), 1 fold, SB says "ah A K hit" ($108.25), 1 fold, CO calls $1.75 ($27.65)
15.60% (EV = -$1.43)
84.40% (EV = $2.18)

Flop: ($5.25, 2 players)
CO checks ($27.65), Hero bets $4 ($59.30), CO calls $4 ($23.65)
13.70% (EV = -$2.18)
86.30% (EV = $7.43)

Turn: ($13.25, 2 players)
CO checks ($23.65), Hero bets $8 ($51.30), CO raises to $16 ($7.65), Hero calls $8 ($43.30)
63.60% (EV = $12.78)
36.40% (EV = $0.47)

River: ($45.25, 2 players)
CO goes all-in $7.65 ($0.00), Hero calls $7.65 ($35.65), SB says "or kk ?" ($108.25)
100.00% (EV = $52.90)
0.00% (EV = -$7.65)

Final Pot: $60.55
CO shows:
Hero shows:

CO wins $57.65 ( won +$27.75 )
Hero lost -$29.90

-----------------------

And if I'm still tilting, I'll finish it off by doing something absolutely ridiculous.

$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at

Stacks:
Hero ($50.00)
UTG+1 ($109.00)
CO ($49.20)
BTN ($24.70)
SB ($70.05)
BB ($57.65)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is UTG
UTG+1 says "j 3" ($109.00), Hero says "no" ($50.00), Hero raises to $1.75 ($48.25), 1 fold, Hero says "J3" ($48.25), CO raises to $6.50 ($42.70), 3 folds, UTG+1 says "what u have on that hand vs me" ($109.00), Hero raises to $19 ($29.25), UTG+1 says "kk ?" ($109.00), CO says "hmmmm" ($42.70), Hero says "had KK against J3" ($31.00), UTG+1 says "vs me though" ($109.00), CO goes all-in $49.20 ($0.00), Hero calls $30.20 ($0.80)
81.50% (EV = $31.61)
18.50% (EV = -$30.86)

Flop: ($99.15, 2 players)
UTG+1 says "u flop a set" ($109.00)
90.10% (EV = $89.33)
9.90% (EV = $9.82)

Turn: ($99.15, 2 players)
95.50% (EV = $94.69)
4.50% (EV = $4.46)

River: ($99.15, 2 players)
UTG+1 says "1010" ($0.00)
0.00% (EV = $0.00)
100.00% (EV = $99.15)

Final Pot: $99.15
Hero shows:
CO shows:

CO wins $96.15 ( won +$46.95 )
Hero lost -$49.20


I'm getting pretty muther fuckin sick of these 2 outters for stacks the past few weeks. Pretty fuckin sick of it.

[MTPaid]

Running recap of Sunday MTT's

$750K Satellite ($24+2 FT)
- Lasted 18 hands. Ran AK into QQ. I don't remember the last time I won a flip in an MTT. I used to run so normally with them. Maybe that's the price I pay for having back to back successful MTT months in March and April.

$9.5K KO ($24+2 FT)

Wanna know why T8s is a snap call here?
This is why......

No Limit Holdem Tournament
$9500 KO Guarantee
9 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG (2006)
UTG+1 (10609)
MP1 (2362)
MP2 (4027)
MP3 (1335)
CO (6044)
BTN (5021)
Hero (1320)
BB (1516)

Blinds: 60/120

Pre-flop: (180, 9 players) Hero is SB
6 folds, BTN raises to 360, Hero goes all-in 1320, 1 fold, BTN calls 960

Flop: (2760, 2 players)

Turn: (2760, 2 players)

River: (2760, 2 players)

Final Pot: 2760
BTN shows:
Hero shows:

BTN wins 2760 ( won +1440 )
Hero lost -1320


MSOP #15 NLHE ($10+1 FT - over 5K players)

Uhmmm.....BULLSHIT x 1,000,000???? Super Duper Bullshit????
Not rigged? Flop call with what? Having a bad month?

No Limit Holdem Tournament
MSOP Event #15
9 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG (2245)
Hero (2785)
MP1 (4530)
MP2 (2750)
MP3 (3340)
CO (3720)
BTN (2360)
SB (2850)
BB (5420)
[SB is sitting out]

Blinds: 20/40

Pre-flop: (60, 9 players) Hero is UTG+1
UTG calls 40 (2205), Hero calls 40 (2745), MP1 calls 40 (4490), 5 folds, BB checks (5380)

Flop: (180, 4 players)
BB checks (5380), UTG checks (2205), Hero bets 140 (2605), MP1 calls 140 (4350), BB calls 140 (5240), UTG folds (2205)

Turn: (600, 3 players)
BB checks (5240), Hero checks (2605), MP1 checks (4350)

River: (600, 3 players)
BB checks (5240), Hero bets 500 (2105), MP1 raises to 1000 (3350), BB folds (5240), Hero goes all-in 2605 (0), MP1 calls 1605 (1745)

Final Pot: 5810
Hero shows:
MP1 shows:

MP1 wins 5810 ( won +3025 )
BB lost -180
UTG lost -40
Hero lost -2785

Reason for the turn check was that villain was super aggro post-flop and I expected him to bet so I could c/r all-in. Not like it would have mattered the way the sites have conspired against me this month so far.

$100K ($10+1 Stars - less than 20K players for the first time in months)

Here's another huge fuckin shocker........

No Limit Holdem Tournament
$10+$1
9 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG (6345)
UTG+1 (4925)
MP1 (2680)
Hero (2915)
MP3 (2228)
CO (4675)
BTN (3550)
SB (926)
BB (3331)

Blinds: 50/100

Pre-flop: (150, 9 players) Hero is MP2
3 folds, Hero raises to 350 (2565), 1 fold, CO calls 350 (4325), 2 folds, BB calls 250 (2981)

Flop: (1100, 3 players)
BB checks (2981), Hero bets 785 (1780), CO goes all-in 4325 (0), BB folds (2981), Hero goes all-in 1780 (0)

Turn: (6230, 2 players)

River: (6230, 2 players)

Final Pot: 6230
CO shows:
Hero shows:

CO wins 7990 ( won +3315 )
BB lost -350
Hero lost -2915

Won a total of 3 hands that saw flops in 4 MTT's this afternoon. Went to 5 showdowns, you see 4 of them all above. The only other one was AJ (BB) > A5o (UTG) on A-hi flop early in the MSOP Event.

Recap
- AK < QQ in a coinflip
- Guy open-raises BTN then snap calls shove w/ T8s. Ends up with quads.
- Guy calls a decent flop bet on a K-hi board with nothing but a BDFD, of which I have 2 of the same suit K-hi, and hits it to stack me.
- AQ < AJ on the only flop he could stack me on....AJ9.

When is it time to just sacrifice the bonuses and call it year?

PS - I just hit the preview button about 5x (make that 6x) instead of posting because I had to keep staring at this over and over again to make sure that it really happened. I'm so happy nobody's reading this anymore so I can lose my mind in silence.

And I didn't even post the cash hand late last night where I almost got stacked by A9 while holding AJ on an J78A board where he called the flop and actually threw in the dreaded min-raise on the turn because he knew the 4 outter was so powerful against me.

[MTPaid]

Sunday Part II? Why am I doing this?

$25K ($25+2.50 Stars)

http://weaktight.com/227579 ???? You can imagine what I'm thinking when he check/raises the river....but WTF.....on every street?

But no matter which side we're on, not gonna win a flip this month. QQ < AK
Two hands later, this is just another fuckin crime! Seriously, who did I piss off on both sites? How?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?

No Limit Holdem Tournament
$25.00+$2.50
9 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG (8915)
UTG+1 (3190)
MP1 (1760)
MP2 (5325)
MP3 (9491)
CO (15850)
Hero (1510)
SB (8370)
BB (23740)

Blinds: 125/250 Ante 25

Pre-flop: (600, 9 players) Hero is BTN
2 folds, MP1 goes all-in 1735, 3 folds, Hero goes all-in 1485, 2 folds
74.50% (EV = $1174.65)
25.50% (EV = -$760.90)

Flop: (3570, 2 players)
43.50% (EV = $1552.95)
56.50% (EV = $2158.30)

Turn: (3570, 2 players)
95.50% (EV = $3409.35)
4.50% (EV = $171.90)

River: (3570, 2 players)
CO says "gg"
0.00% (EV = $0.00)
100.00% (EV = $3820.00)

Final Pot: 3570
Hero shows:
MP1 shows:

MP1 wins 3820 ( won +2085 )
Hero lost -1485


$32K ($24+2 FT)

http://weaktight.com/227698 - Ran AA into......AA....Oustanding!

Card dead for almost the entire last hour and a bubble. Shoved in 5.5BB from MP with KTo. Funny thing is it folds all the way to the BB who takes some time and I say to myself..he's got A8o. Sure enough, he calls with A8o. Flopped an OESD, but the 14 outter in my favor is not nearly as mighty as the 4 outter against me.

MSOP #15 LO8 ($20+2 FT)

http://weaktight.com/227701 - marginal call leads to great results. Maybe that's what I need to start doing more of.

http://weaktight.com/227718 - FUGGGG!!! Give me 1/2 and I'm cashing.

Made it barely through the bubble anyway. Well, I guess a cash, any cash is a step in the right direction. 76th out of 887 and 4+ hours for a $13.48 profit. Not even double the buyin.

$4K PLO ($24+2 FT)

I just legitmately never made a hand and ran AQJ9ss into AQQTds and he had the double FD by the turn. It's actuall the only tournament in a while that I haven't played well. I deserved to lose, so I'm suprised I didn't win it.

$28K ($24+2 FT)

http://weaktight.com/227699 - I think they gave these to the wrong person. Knew I wasn't getting any action on that board. Would have bet if the other card was lower, but maybe I should have anyway because of the flush draw.

http://weaktight.com/227702 - Another WTF?? but thank you. Thank you for the nice sweat on the turn too.

http://weaktight.com/227720 - YEHEHEHEHESSSSSSS! I win my 1st coinflip in ages. A big flop for QQ vs AK. Maybe things are changing?

http://weaktight.com/227722 - And another Sunday Holy crap WTF are you doing in my favor.

Another cash. Profit $10 for 3 hours. Walked TT into QQ vs the loose aggressive chip leader. Would have had a real shot at a decent cash winning that one. Would have more than tripled up as another player (99) shoved in behind us in addition to a caller stuck in between.

So 2 cashes out of 5 in the evening/night MTT's for a total profit of $24 in the cashes, stil leaving a $50 deficit for the night and about $125 on the day.

This week, I put in the most hours I think I've ever put in playing poker in a week (36+) and lost the 2nd most money I've ever lost in a week ($400+....lost $700+ 2 weeks ago) and I'm now en route to my eclipse my biggest losing month ever (last month) at this continued pace. I've dumped off about 1/4 of my bankroll ($1250) over the past 3 weeks.

New week, new luck?

[Kuso]

[MTPaid]

[Kuso]

[MTPaid]

[MTPaid]

4 agonizing sessions + 1 agonizing session = 2 profitable sessions out of 5, but an overall win.

Last Night

1 - 1hr PLO (-$33.30)

Check/cal check/call check/flush is good....over.....and over....and over. Nobody ever folds.

I did make one sick hero call that kept me from bleeding off more than a stack to the flush chasers.

http://weaktight.com/230752 - Every single draw missed. What are you repping here? Are you telling me you never raised KQ or a set on that board? Not likely. Not to mention his pot bet was out there the split second I hit the check button.

2 - 1hr4m NLHE +$122.60

Picked off a stack with AA in a 3-bet pot vs TT on a 937 flop. Turn was an 8 and my shove was giving him over 2.5-1 with 10 outs so I can't blame his stack off that much.

The donations were very generous after that. This might be the sickest, most generous donation I have ever been given.

$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG ($22.75)
UTG+1 ($73.55)
CO ($82.10)
Hero ($75.80)
SB ($37.05)
BB ($12.85)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is BTN
3 folds, Hero raises to $1.75 ($74.05), SB calls $1.50 ($35.30), 1 fold
43.90% (EV = $0.01)
56.10% (EV = $0.49)

Flop: ($4, 2 players)
SB checks ($35.30), Hero bets $3 ($71.05), SB calls $3 ($32.30)
99.70% (EV = $6.97)
0.30% (EV = -$2.97)

Turn: ($10, 2 players)
SB checks ($32.30), Hero bets $5 ($66.05), SB calls $5 ($27.30)
100.00% (EV = $15.00)
0.00% (EV = -$5.00)

River: ($20, 2 players)
SB bets $2 ($25.30), Hero raises to $10 ($56.05), SB calls $8 ($17.30)
100.00% (EV = $30.00)
0.00% (EV = -$10.00)

Final Pot: $40
Hero shows:
SB shows:

Hero wins $38.05 ( won +$18.30 )
SB lost -$19.75

Other donations.....
http://weaktight.com/230781 - A6o in a re-raised pot? Really?

QQ in a 3-bet pot, I get c/r'ed on a Q-hi flop. Sets are starting to hit. Unfortunately he folded to the shove. Must have had either JJ or AK.

http://weaktight.com/230855 - Cold called 3-bet preflop, calls off most his stack, folds river?

Donation not accepted.....
http://weaktight.com/230852 - Calls a raise with T4s and then calls the flop raise? About the only negative thing that happened this session.

3 - 46m PLO (-$22)

I somehow started feeling like I was becoming too passive during this session, only calling when I had big draws instead of sticking it in unless I was drawing to the double nuts or the like.

The next big hand that came up, I decided to stick it in with top+bottom pair, an overpair, + 2nd nut flush draw. Then the clown in the SB calls the raise cold and the raiser just so happens to have the nut flush draw, which he can't lay down once the other clown calls. So this imbecile in the SB pretty much cost me the fold and the pot. What a shitty turn making his Aces good now and that's exactly what hits on the river.

$0.25/$0.5 Pot Limit Omaha Hi
6 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG ($33.70)
UTG+1 ($49.60)
CO ($35.00)
Hero ($50.40)
SB ($70.50)
BB ($30.00)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is BTN
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50 ($49.10), CO raises to $2 ($33.00), Hero calls $2 ($48.40), SB calls $1.75 ($68.50), 1 fold, UTG+1 calls $1.50 ($47.60)
44.50% (EV = $1.78)
55.50% (EV = $2.72)

Flop: ($8.50, 4 players)
SB checks ($68.50), UTG+1 checks ($47.60), CO bets $3 ($30.00), Hero raises to $15 ($33.40), SB calls $15 ($53.50), UTG+1 folds ($47.60), CO goes all-in $33 ($0.00), Hero goes all-in $48.40 ($0.00), SB folds ($53.50)
39.60% (EV = -$3.50)
60.40% (EV = $5.90)

Turn: ($89.50, 2 players)
30.00% (EV = $22.35)
70.00% (EV = $62.93)

River: ($89.50, 2 players)
100.00% (EV = $74.50)
0.00% (EV = $0.00)

Final Pot: $89.50
CO shows:
Hero shows:

CO wins $86.50 ( won +$51.50 )
Hero wins $15.40 ( lost -$35 )
UTG+1 lost -$2.00
SB lost -$17.00

Not that I expect to win every 60/40, but what a god damn frustrating hand after talking myself back into being aggressive here, doing all the right things, and just getting F'ed in every possible way in this hand. This hand could have really turned it into a very good day.

4 - 37m NLHE (-$21.15)

- Set, stack a shortie.
- Raise AJ, flop an Ace (A2x) called by A2o.
- Flop middle set with str8 on board. Gotta play it fast. No action.
- Flop bottom set with str8+FD on board. Gotta play it fast. No action.
- Flop a set, stack a shortie.

Then these 2 which frustrated me so much that I quit after just a half hour.

http://weaktight.com/230905 - The only river he's getting paid on. I call out his hand on the river, but I pay it off anyway. That bet screamed "I have AK but I really want you to think it's a busted FD."

http://weaktight.com/230909 - This is just a big FU. I give up KK, which I figured was a no brainer, and neither one of them have an Ace. How do they both call that flop and nobody has an Ace? KT?

This Afternoon

5 - 1hr30m PLO +$48.80

NOBODY - EVER - FOLDS - EVER!!! Which really sucks when you can't make a damn hand. I have to bleed off a stack to 5-hi flush draws who call down and walk into a set on the river, then A2 who calls a flop bet with an Ace and hit running 2's, and whatever else they'll call down with before I finally hit a hand for a stack, just to make back what I bled off.

Then finally I catch another couple of hands after an hour or so to make it worth it.

http://weaktight.com/230972 - God damn good thing I hit this river cause I thought about trying to shove him off it because I had the .

http://weaktight.com/230974 - Wow did he play this hand like shit, thank you very much.

[MTPaid]

Nobody folds anything.....EVER! (except for the occasional 3 barrel on the river)

They'll limp in from anywhere and no matter how big you raise from the blinds with AK/AQ (5x-7xBB) they'll call and they're going nowhere on the flop. Now if we could only hit a few of those hands.....

A little more positive than negative yesterday. So while it's certainly frustrating whiffing consistently with Ax and getting check/called to death, and then when the A does flop, but you don't have it, you get raised anyway, it eventually works out sometimes when you actually do get a hand or happen to get lucky.....because I deserve to get lucky sometimes too damn it!!!

I can't believe I actually thought about folding this hand on the flop. I got called all kinds of names after this....by the person who calls a raise with A8o and stacks off with a pair of 8's.
http://weaktight.com/232128

WTF is this??? This player was 8/8 over 73 hands too. Thank you?
http://weaktight.com/232130

WTF is this Part II?? Although this player was a lot looser and crazier - 34/26 - than the first guy. Thank you too?
http://weaktight.com/232134

-----------------------
PLO

This guy had been on my ass the entire session. Either call or raise to every bet I made. So here, I figured it was time to stick it in and when his bluff doesn't work, he decides to call anyway. I guess freerolling doesn't mean what I thought it meant. Cause I thought I was freerolling here. How the hell does he make this call with a bare OESD when he could be crushed?

$0.25/$0.5 Pot Limit Omaha Hi
5 players
Converted at

Stacks:
Hero ($59.30)
CO ($25.65)
BTN ($57.75)
SB ($24.40)
BB ($20.45)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 5 players) Hero is UTG
Hero raises to $1.75 ($57.55), 1 fold, BTN calls $1.75 ($56.00), 2 folds
40.30% (EV = -$0.04)
59.70% (EV = $0.79)

Flop: ($4.25, 2 players)
Hero bets $3 ($54.55), BTN raises to $10 ($46.00), Hero raises to $34.05 ($20.50), BTN goes all-in $56 ($0.00), Hero calls $21.95 ($1.55)
73.70% (EV = $29.68)
26.30% (EV = -$25.43)

Turn: ($116.25, 2 players)
55.00% (EV = $63.94)
45.00% (EV = $52.31)

River: ($116.25, 2 players)
0.00% (EV = $0.00)
100.00% (EV = $116.25)

Final Pot: $116.25
Hero shows:
BTN shows:

BTN wins $114.25 ( won +$56.50 )
Hero lost -$57.75

---------------------

This guy had re-raised me 3 consecutive times. I thought he was full of shit so I stuck it in with the bare NFD. I was wrong....which means I win. Although I wasn't really in that bad shape % wise......but that didn't stop him from calling me every name he could think of.
http://weaktight.com/232139

This guy tried to give me a math lesson afterward. Telling me about my odds and what I needed to call with only 1 card to come. When he was done, I asked him about implied odds (cause nobody folds) and he said those don't count. He might not even have the straight and check behind on the river.
http://weaktight.com/232141

[MTPaid]

No poker Friday. Was out all day, all night. A couple of hours yesterday afternoon for a $32 profit. Out again last night. So I'm all ready for a full day of MTT's today and I fully expect to win one.

$9.5K FT ($24+2)

I'm an imbecile. Guy had been in every pot, betting heavily so he open limps BTN, why would I think he's full of shit and middle pair was good here?
http://weaktight.com/234554

Then of course I pick up Aces 2 hands later and all 3 players with VP$IP's over 40 fold and I pick up the blinds.
And I still suck at coinflips....
http://weaktight.com/234557

I'm an imbecile part II. Stupid assumption again vs. a bad player. I was right he had trash, but his trash was better than mine. This was just a ship in after the coinflip.
http://weaktight.com/234561

MSOP #29 NLHE FT ($30+3)

I'm an imbecile part III. This shit only works against me. I forget I'm the only one who misses flops when I raise.
http://weaktight.com/234560

I'm an imbecile part IV. UTG raise, re-raise, shove. And I fold AQs.
http://weaktight.com/234571

I'm an imbecile part V. CO open-raise is never light. The re-steal is just plain stupid.
http://weaktight.com/234597

$100K Stars ($10+1)

I'm an imbecile part VI. Why? Why would I ever think? Why would I ever think A) He's folding to a large turn raise or B) he's ever not nailing the river after making a loose call.
http://weaktight.com/234562

Evening MTT's.....Gonna try to stop being an imbecile.

Bracelet Race Satellite on FT ($26+2)

Lasted 2 hands. Ran QQ into 99. There's no strategy that's gonna beat that.

No Limit Holdem Tournament
Satellite to Bracelet Race
9 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG (1500)
UTG+1 (1500)
MP1 (1500)
MP2 (1500)
MP3 (1545)
CO (1500)
BTN (1485)
Hero (1470)
BB (1500)

Blinds: 15/30

Pre-flop: (45, 9 players) Hero is SB
2 folds, MP1 raises to 100 (1400), 4 folds, Hero raises to 330 (1125), 1 fold, MP1 goes all-in 1500 (0), Hero calls 1140 (0)

Flop: (3000, 2 players)

Turn: (3000, 2 players)

River: (3000, 2 players)

Final Pot: 2970
Hero shows:
MP1 shows:

MP1 wins 2970 ( won +1470 )
Hero lost -1470

Done! Fuck it! Seriously.....rigged.

[MTPaid]

[MTPaid]

[MTPaid]

Some stats after 600+ frustrating hands of NLHE 6-max where I would pick up a stack or 2 and then either bleed off to stations or get cold-decked or bad beat back to even. It finally ended after I got all-in preflop vs a 74/24 running AK into QQ. I hit both my cards, but he hit his Q too.

So after 12K+ hands at NL$50 I've come to definitely believe that getting in with AK preflop, or even 4-betting with it, is a giant mistake.

PT3 Filter #1: AKs+AKo where I've 3-bet or 4-bet preflop and saw a flop

AKs 7x 57.14% -$72.20
AKo 28x 57.14% -$84.70

Total 35x 57.14% -$156.90

PT3 Filter #2: AKs+AKo 4-bets only

AKs 4x 50% -$77.95
AKo 8x 50% -$65.25

Total 12 50% -$143.20

PT3 Filter #3: TT+, AQs+, AKo when I 4-bet

AA 5x 80% $25.20
AKs 4x 50% -$77.95
AKo 8x 50% -$65.25
AQs 1x 0% -$52.85
KK 3x 66.67% -$33.10
QQ 3x 66.67% $76.65
JJ 2x 0% $99.25
TT 2x 0% -$110.30

Totals 28x 50% -$336.85

So even the bad players aren't stacking off, or even just 3-betting, as lightly as people would think.

1 for 25 flopping sets today and took that one down on the flop, so this prolonged set drought never seems to end.