by Felonius_Monk » Tue Aug 09, 2005 1:55 pm
Hi raisor, nice to have you here!
Preflop I don't think that's a bad call PROVIDING it's a hand you're comfortable to play post-flop. If it's one you struggle with in situations like this, you might consider folding to a raise preflop until you're a little more confident of how to play it; the hand itsslf is a reasonable one, though.
On the flop you have a flush draw plus a POSSIBLE 8 to win it. A lot depends on how aggressive the preflop raiser is; against some opponents who will lay down all but a big set or a big draw, I would lead out on this flop because it's UNLIKELY the preflop raiser has a set of kings or any sort of draw (you have the only high-card-orientated draw with your ace high flush), and thus you're likely to make him fold. If he raises you back all-in, you have enough odds to call with your flush (flush beats a set right around one third of the time on this flop, perhaps a bit more with your straight draw too).
However, I would be less inclined to check-raise, as you did; the reason for this is that once the preflop raiser bets out on the flop, there's not really enough money left to make him fold any hand. There's no "fold equity" in raising here because you won't get a weak hand but one that's beating yours (like AAxx) to fold, more often than not, at $25 level.
Probably the best plays are either to lead out and hope you get two players to fold (calling all-in with your decent draw if necessary) and checking and seeing what develops. Once your opponent bets the pot, it's probably marginally best to fold. He will, of course, move in on the turn if you don't so you're effectively going to be putting your $24 in to a $60 pot on a hand in which i'd estimate you have about 35-40% of the equity; you're putting in 40% of the chips for the final pot, and are almost certain not to be winning more than 40% of the time even in a perfect world, so, marginally, it's a fold. The exception would be if the guy left to act (wags) might call the bet as well, giving you better pot odds, but really you can only be guessing that that's the case.
Consider leading out against a weak/tight player, otherwise check and hope he offers you odds to draw to your flush by betting less than the pot.
Hope this helps,
Monk
xxxxx
The Monkman J[c]
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