by Cactus Jack » Thu Sep 01, 2005 6:05 am
Ok, now I'm no expert on anything, and I did NOT stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night.
I think it depends on the levels you play at, and the sites you play, as well as your experience and confidence. In 5000 hands on Full Tilt, I'm rated an Ultra-Aggressor. My VPi%P is 18.30, which I think is the most important stat, unless you're folding AA and betting K3. My AF is 2.80 which may seem very high, unless you know my philosophy is raise, bet or fold, mostly raise or fold. At $25 and $50NL, to win you absolutely have to be aggressive, or they'll play crap hands against you and suck out on you constantly.
Which leads to WtS and W$aSD. Mine seems low--22.30 and 46.84%, respectively. This may mean I'm weak/tight, or it could mean that I either win the pot before showdown or I'm releasing the hand. Again, it's the levels. At this level, the calling stations are prevalent, and they'll hang around a lot longer than we'd like. First, they aren't very good. Second, more than half the players at $50NL on FTP buy in for far less than $50, which means they'll not lose a lot of money when drawing. They buy in short to protect themselves from themselves.
Here's an amazing stat: won with AA 78% of the time, yet I'm down $47.05 with them. Either I'm playing them badly--NO, 100% preflop raise--or hanging onto them to long--again, NO, as I'm usually all in before the flop, or on the flop--or I'm getting a lot of bad beats. Guess which? My SD % is 50% and my win percentage at SD is 33%. I've had AA in the blinds a few times and the table folded all the way around. You either win a little or lose a lot most often. It's the nature of the hand and the nature of the competition.
Uh, what was my point? Oh, yeah, stats are a great thing to look at and are really helpful, but only if filtered by a lot of factors.
Or, maybe I should stay in a Holiday Express more often?
CJ
ps--I'm only at breakeven due to a streak of cold cards and my last hand losing the nut flush to a full-house on the flop when a moron called a raise with Q9o when UTG.
"Are the players better as the stakes go up? It's not an exam; it's a buyin." Barry Tanenbaum