by Kuso » Mon Feb 06, 2006 9:26 pm
what level is this (trying to gauge likely savviness of villain)?
i'm no SNG expert, but i can't say i like the idea of putting any more chips in on the flop at the lower buy-ins. this guy is representing an overpair (i guess he had TT... can't see in post), and you're losing to everything but 77 and 88. a lot of stars folks only bet when they have hands.
some people will steal these kinds of pots with overs, but sometimes i think you've got to give in. if you think he's just doing a routine CB with overs (i.e., he's that kind of player). then your raise on the flop has some potential, but you've got to fold to the reraise. again, unless you're up against a good, tricky player, there are few people who can make that reraise with air.
other points:
- if this is an SNG, i'm not sure i like calliing that raise as the first caller with only the blinds left to act. if the blinds drop, you basically have to fold to any bet on an flop with overcards and you may be up against a bigger PP anyway. if you're first in with this hand, i think it's worth a raise. also, if there are lots of callers before, it's possible to call for set value even for a raise. as it is... ugh. maybe you can double up if you get a set, but you're paying a dear price for a two-outer.
- if you're going to raise the flop, i think you need to push. it's too easy for a weaker hand (e.g., overs) to call 400 more for a 1525 pot. even if it's technically wrong, you're not punishing the draw enough. of course, this is why i don't really like putting any more money in on the flop anyway.
just my 2 cents... ymmv.
wwcrd?
"that basically sums up poker for me - 12" needle in the testicle."
mvp