by Felonius_Monk » Mon Feb 13, 2006 6:14 pm
Yes, I would've called any bet on the river. Your problem was that a bet small enough for me to believe you had a wheel would also have been small enough for me to call pot-odds wise, whilst a big bet would've made me think for sure you didn't have the goods, although I forget the exact situation I knew for a fact you'd have sprayed the flop if you had the hand that would've caught the wheel on the turn, which is why I knew you didn't have it on the turn. Had you taken a big shot on the river I would've followed through the turn read and called you because any wheel hand you would've either gottan seriously lucky on river-wise or played quite badly/brilliantly depending on how deep you were thinking into the hand.
So either way I figure it'd have been +EV to call a bet on the river.
Rhound you had F all fold equity because once I put in half my stack on that flop I'm calling with any ten, especially one which involved two low cards. I have odds against any hand you've got, given that the only possible boat I either have 9 outs against, or 6 outs plus a backdoor low. You should have either CRed the flop or just let go once I raised you, I think. Though admittedly the latter option will encourage me to raise you a lot, which might not be what you want sitting one seat to the right.
The Monkman J[c]
"Informer, you no say daddy me snow me Ill go blame,
A licky boom boom down.
Detective mon said daddy me snow me stab someone down the lane,
A licky boom boom down." - Snow, 1993